{"id":204367,"date":"2020-10-12T00:29:21","date_gmt":"2020-10-11T23:29:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tucuentavip.com\/es\/?p=204367"},"modified":"2020-10-12T01:28:46","modified_gmt":"2020-10-12T00:28:46","slug":"mexico-y-covid-economia-en-el-borde-del-abismo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theprisma.co.uk\/es\/2020\/10\/12\/mexico-y-covid-economia-en-el-borde-del-abismo\/","title":{"rendered":"Mexico y Covid: econom\u00eda en el borde del abismo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Desde el inicio de la pandemia de la Covid-19, M\u00e9xico alert\u00f3 sobre lo dif\u00edcil que era para un pa\u00eds de 127 millones de habitantes (la mitad cercanos a la l\u00ednea de miseria o por debajo de ella) lograr el equilibrio correcto entre las medidas sanitarias de prevenci\u00f3n y contenci\u00f3n del coronavirus, y el funcionamiento de la econom\u00eda.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Luis Manuel Arce Isaac<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

En el momento m\u00e1s agudo de la curva epidemiol\u00f3gica no vacil\u00f3 dar la batalla contra la pandemia, y ver el desplome de la econom\u00eda, casi sin posibilidades de detenerla.<\/p>\n

Pero en junio, con p\u00e9rdidas descomunales agravadas por la ca\u00edda de los precios internacionales del petr\u00f3leo, se decidi\u00f3 abandonar el confinamiento, entrar a la denominada nueva normalidad.<\/p>\n

La alternativa fue priorizar la econom\u00eda pues esta padec\u00eda un agotamiento muy peligroso que los programas sociales y de pensiones y becas del gobierno apenas pod\u00edan disminuir.<\/p>\n

El esfuerzo por la recuperaci\u00f3n de la doble crisis en un pa\u00eds donde m\u00e1s del 60% de la poblaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3micamente activa pertenece al sector informal, fue tremendo. Siete meses despu\u00e9s de la pandemia se observa una reactivaci\u00f3n d\u00e9bil y rodeada de grandes peligros.<\/p>\n

Uno de ellos es un presumible rebrote de la Covid-19, ya que tiene como vecino a Estados Unidos (con altas cifras de contagio y de muerte) y, por su parte, M\u00e9xico tambi\u00e9n tiene muy altos \u00edndices de transmisi\u00f3n, hospitalizaci\u00f3n y decesos.<\/p>\n

Por eso cada mes ambas naciones se han puesto de acuerdo en sostener un cierre parcial de los numerosos puntos fronterizos de acceso, y permitir solamente el paso de veh\u00edculos y personal imprescindible.<\/p>\n

\"\"La dependencia econ\u00f3mica de M\u00e9xico de su vecino, se acrecienta despu\u00e9s de la firma del Tratado de Libre Comercio tripartito con Canad\u00e1.<\/p>\n

De tal manera, la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica de M\u00e9xico est\u00e1 sujeta a los riesgos externos por la crisis mundial, que pueden tener un efecto contraproducente a los beneficios esperados del tratado tripartito, seg\u00fan advierte el CESF.<\/p>\n

Esto debido a la posibilidad de que la recuperaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda mundial sea menos vigorosa de lo anticipado y por el riesgo de ajustes negativos adicionales a las calificaciones crediticias que ha recibido el pa\u00eds, incluido Pemex.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, la banca se niega a sacrificar parte de sus utilidades para hacer reducciones de capital a usuarios deudores afectados por la crisis econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n

El plan del gobierno<\/strong><\/p>\n

El gobierno del presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador tiene un plan antineoliberal de recuperaci\u00f3n, que ha dado pasos positivos con una recuperaci\u00f3n de la actividad, aunque lenta.<\/p>\n

Se basa en la consigna \u201cprimero los de abajo\u201d, cuya l\u00f3gica es nutrir los bolsillos de la mayor\u00eda mediante un sistema de minicr\u00e9ditos, pensiones y empleos poco calificados, reforzados con un incremento de las remesas de sus emigrantes radicados en el exterior.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la l\u00f3gica de L\u00f3pez Obrador si los m\u00e1s de 60 millones de pobres que posee Mexico tienen una solvencia m\u00ednima, la capacidad de consumo interno no se afecta, ni se paraliza la industria de bienes y servicios, y tampoco baja el empleo ni har\u00e1 falta acudir a la deuda p\u00fablica.<\/p>\n

Esa apreciaci\u00f3n divide al empresariado: una parte -incluido el gran capital- la considera razonable; otra -muy importante, el capital medio- la considera nociva e insuficiente y aboga por la f\u00f3rmula tradicional de acudir al Fondo Monetario para rescatar ese sector mediante ajuste social, \u2018achicamiento\u2019 del Estado y pr\u00e9stamos.<\/p>\n

\"\"En lo que est\u00e1n de acuerdo capital medio y gobierno es en \u2018achicar\u2019 el Estado.<\/p>\n

El capital medio aboga por una intervenci\u00f3n limitada del Estado en la econom\u00eda, que implica despidos y apertura a la iniciativa privada.<\/p>\n

El Gobierno piensa que una forma de tener ahorro y austeridad republicana, es hacer un recorte en sus funciones gubernamentales, por ejemplo, eliminando numerosas subsecretar\u00edas.<\/p>\n

El capital medio quiere, con la Confederaci\u00f3n Patronal de la Rep\u00fablica Mexicana (Coparmex) \u2013que genera el 30%\u00a0 del PIB y millones de empleos- aplicar f\u00f3rmulas cercanas al reajuste neoliberal, pero buscan pulirlas para conciliar intereses con el gobierno. Sin embargo, el sector estrat\u00e9gico (que no ha sido afectado por el Covid-19 y que no dej\u00f3 de funcionar) y el operativo en el que se mueve Coparmex, dependen de la evoluci\u00f3n de la pandemia. (PL)<\/a><\/p>\n

(Fotos: Pixabay)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\tTweet<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Desde el inicio de la pandemia de la Covid-19, M\u00e9xico alert\u00f3 sobre lo dif\u00edcil que era para un pa\u00eds de 127 millones de habitantes (la mitad cercanos a la l\u00ednea de miseria o por debajo de ella) lograr el equilibrio correcto entre las medidas sanitarias de prevenci\u00f3n y contenci\u00f3n del […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":204368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-204367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-globo","category-reino-unido"],"yoast_head":"\nMexico y Covid: econom\u00eda en el borde del abismo - ThePrisma.co.uk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theprisma.co.uk\/es\/2020\/10\/12\/mexico-y-covid-economia-en-el-borde-del-abismo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mexico y Covid: econom\u00eda en el borde del abismo - 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